Two weeks into the Nevin Place Memorial League and half this room is already living a lie its own schedule told it. Real record is a coin-flip artifact of who you happened to draw. All-play is the truth serum — every team against every score, every week — and I have once again been asked by no one to run it. Obviously, I ran it anyway.
A programming note before we start: Ben Cunnion remains on Fraud Watch permanently, on principle, regardless of what any single ledger says this week. Some things don't need re-litigating. Let's go.
1. Long Hair Dont Care — Charlie Koepsell A 24-2 all-play record through two weeks is not a hot start, it's a statement. Amon-Ra St. Brown went for 35.2, Travis Kelce turned in a 29.6 that should be illegal for a player his age to still produce, and Jonathan Taylor added 29.2 on top. Luck delta sits at a modest +0.077, meaning this isn't puffed-up variance — this is just a good team beating good teams. Nothing to correct for here. Annoying.
2. DELAWARE CHICKEN FARMER'S — Elliott Simmonds Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 42.5 is doing a lot of the heavy lifting on a 21-5 all-play mark, and the +0.192 luck delta says some of this 2-0 start has help from the schedule gods rather than the projection gods. Still elite. Still second-best team in the league by the only measure that matters. Malik Nabers' 1.1 was a war crime against his own manager's lineup card, but the depth absorbed it.
3. Evan Sinn — Evan Sinn Here's the inconvenient part for the narrative-driven wing of this newsroom: Evan Sinn is 1-1 in real record and third in this league by all-play record, an 18-8 mark trailing only Charlie Koepsell's 24-2 and Elliott Simmonds' 21-5, with a -0.192 luck delta, meaning he's been unlucky relative to his output. CeeDee Lamb's 35.3 and Dalton Schultz's inexplicable 32 should be a 2-0 team. They're not. File this under "proof the schedule, not the roster, is failing him," and file the career fraud allegations against him under "pending further data."
4. ShitCo Summer — Brian Jones Jones is 2-0 in the standings, tied with Charlie Koepsell and Elliott Simmonds for the league's best record, and fourth on my board, which should tell you everything about how I feel about his +0.346 luck delta — the single largest in the league. A 17-9 all-play record, the fourth-best résumé in the league, paired with a perfect record is the textbook definition of a team getting away with something. Sam LaPorta and a Cam Ward–C.J. Stroud two-QB stack carried the week, but this is a resume held together by matchup luck, not roster quality. Watch this one regress. I will be watching personally.
5. Tuten that thang up — Jamie Sinn Sixteen and ten all-play, third-highest points for in the league at 278.98, and somehow a 1-1 record — Jamie Sinn is getting punished by the schedule almost as badly as Evan Sinn is, which is either a coincidence or a fascinating shared surname problem I refuse to investigate further. Jared Goff and Dak Prescott both cleared 29 in the same week. That shouldn't be a losing formula for anybody, and this week, it wasn't.
6. Wisconsin Weezy — Justin Waitt A clean, unremarkable 14-12 all-play with a luck delta of -0.038 — basically the platonic average team, deserving of exactly the 1-1 record it has. Jahmyr Gibbs' 23.3 and James Cook's 20.9 out of the backfield are the kind of floor that keeps a fringe playoff team afloat in October. Nothing to see here, which in this business is its own kind of compliment.
7. The Epitome of Brutality — Chris Boyle Our own Dynasty correspondent's actual roster sits at 13-13 all-play with a luck delta of exactly zero — meaning Chris Boyle's team is, mathematically, precisely as good as its record says. I'm told "Topher McBoyle" will have thoughts on this ranking. I welcome them. Kenneth Walker's 23.8 wasn't enough against Jones' luck-inflated outburst, and Caleb Douglas' 3.9 says the WR3 spot needs work regardless of what the standings claim.
8. bcunnion — Ben Cunnion Thirteen and thirteen all-play, a luck delta of zero, a 1-1 record. By the numbers, this is the most boringly average team in the league. I don't believe it for a second. Patrick Mahomes' 28.98 kept this from being an embarrassment, but Kyle Pitts' 3 and Marvin Harrison's 0 are the kind of tight-end/receiver rot that eventually catches up to a manager who has, in my professional opinion, been living on borrowed variance since roughly 2025.
9. Bannermen — Kevin Jones Josh Allen dropped 40.82 points on this roster and Kevin Jones still lost, finishing 12-14 all-play with the receipts to prove it wasn't a fluke — Jaxson Dart's 0.8 and Dallas Goedert's 1.9 are load-bearing failures on a supposedly complete roster. One elite quarterback carrying dead weight everywhere else is not a strategy. It's a hope.
10. hunterk4 — Hunter Koepsell Zero and two in the standings, but a -0.385 luck delta is the worst in the league by a wide margin, meaning Hunter Koepsell has been comprehensively cheated by his schedule while his usename-as-team-name roster quietly puts up a 10-16 all-play mark that's better than two teams ranked above him in the standings. DeVonta Smith's 27.7 deserved a win it didn't get. Change the team name before you change anything else.
11. smg07f — Sean Gibbins A 1-1 record propped up by a +0.154 luck delta and a 9-17 all-play mark that says this team has been the beneficiary, not the author, of its own success. Davante Adams' 39.5 masked a lot of ugliness, including a Jakobi Meyers/David Njoku floor combo that would sink most rosters outright. Also, still using the username as the team name. Some franchises never grow up.
12. Bock Bock Bitch — Ryan Weaver Five and twenty-one all-play, 0-2 real, a -0.192 luck delta — this is a team getting exactly what the numbers say it deserves, which is somehow refreshing after a decade of grievance about schedule luck around this league. Dalton Kincaid's 26 was the one bright spot in an otherwise forgettable week 2 beatdown at the hands of Jamie Sinn's stacked QB room.
13. Shadynasty — Tareq Hafza Tareq Hafza's 1-1 record is propped up by a +0.308 luck delta, the second-highest in the league, riding on top of a 5-21 all-play mark that puts him in a flat tie for worst team in the Nevin Place Memorial League by the metric that actually predicts the future. Saquon Barkley's 3 and Konata Mumpfield's 2.2 are the kind of numbers that should have this team 0-2, and by rights, soon will.
14. jhamm89 — Joe Hamm Last place, and correctly so — a 5-21 all-play record, the league's lowest points-for total at 209.76, and a -0.192 luck delta that confirms this isn't bad luck, it's just a bad roster. Tre Tucker's 22.9 was the one thing keeping this from being a total blowout, and Tucker Kraft's 4.5 says the tight end room needs a full teardown. Also — username as team name, last in the league. Some things really do belong together.
